Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 1.921465 2.198524 2.503056 2.862881 3.276784 3.738407 4.292906
2025-07-06 1.449361 1.809883 2.243266 2.803769 3.511288 4.377093 5.520703
2025-07-13 1.281462 1.699206 2.233288 2.968658 3.958989 5.252272 7.078915
2025-07-20 1.111015 1.546186 2.130922 2.977996 4.180540 5.836730 8.308498
2025-07-27 1.009273 1.464822 2.104000 3.071947 4.511095 6.588056 9.842474
2025-08-03 0.901929 1.358330 2.023609 3.071439 4.694624 7.136837 11.133895
2025-08-10 0.808792 1.259479 1.939528 3.049534 4.834548 7.624448 12.376575
2025-08-17 0.723939 1.162345 1.845126 2.996718 4.913473 8.016408 13.500857
2025-08-24 0.673678 1.113522 1.819467 3.047930 5.161043 8.698989 15.178631
2025-08-31 0.629407 1.069108 1.795074 3.096146 5.404830 9.395438 16.955102
2025-09-07 0.578351 1.007583 1.735147 3.075385 5.523635 9.883675 18.409137
2025-09-14 0.527282 0.940685 1.658931 3.016624 5.565580 10.234731 19.642794
2025-09-21 0.480647 0.881058 1.596644 2.989949 5.689293 10.796948 21.451304
2025-09-28 0.433332 0.815956 1.519165 2.929276 5.748119 11.257547 23.155819
2025-10-05 0.421572 0.815802 1.561293 3.101800 6.281617 12.706577 27.086350
2025-10-12 0.391440 0.776570 1.524020 3.111576 6.486110 13.515641 29.774026
2025-10-19 0.374117 0.760630 1.530251 3.209915 6.885653 14.778183 33.640060
2025-10-26 0.348366 0.724609 1.491876 3.209383 7.071560 15.603121 36.628773
2025-11-02 0.323124 0.686894 1.445839 3.186454 7.204076 16.324472 39.477293
2025-11-09 0.297586 0.645838 1.388353 3.131172 7.255455 16.865749 41.966027
2025-11-16 0.283398 0.628085 1.379372 3.184776 7.567055 18.054331 46.253638
2025-11-23 0.270071 0.610841 1.369629 3.235245 7.877028 19.277836 50.817938
2025-11-30 0.252621 0.582377 1.331525 3.213514 8.006444 20.071019 54.358164